Iowa Could Spell Success For Trump…If He Listens
Donald Trump has been getting pounded in the media for offending various groups, accusing Obama and Clinton of founding ISIS and numerous other contrarian positions that brought him a lot of negative coverage. Now comes good news out of Iowa showing The Donald has a lead, for the first time, over Clinton.
According to The Blaze:
A new Suffolk University poll of Iowa likely voters has GOP standard bearer Donald Trump ahead of Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton 41-40 in a head-to-head matchup. And in a four-way race, which includes Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson and the Green Party’s Jill Stein, Trump still leads Clinton by a point, 37-36.
Despite the positive polling numbers, the survey did include a bit of a mixed message for Trump — Iowans still don’t think he will win:
Despite Iowa likely voters splitting almost evenly between Trump and Clinton, the perception among those Hawkeye State likely voters is that Clinton will prevail in November. Nearly 53 percent of Iowans said that when all the votes are counted this November, Clinton will win. Just 31 percent said they thought Trump will win. Some 16 percent weren’t sure.
A NBC/Wall Street Journal poll of registered voters published Tuesday had Clinton up by four, 41-37, in the only other Iowa poll that has been conducted since the two major parties’ conventions. And the RealClearPolitics average of Iowa polls has Clinton with a 0.4-point lead.
The swing state went to President Barack Obama in 2012 and 2008, while President Bush took it in 2004 after losing it to Vice President Al Gore in 2000.
The varying results and close polls should not be too surprising considering that, as Suffolk pointed out, party registration in Iowa is very evenly split — Republicans at 33 percent, Democrats at 32 percent — with 35 percent of voters claiming to be independent or having no party affiliation.
It’s interesting that Mr. Trump is leading, something you wouldn’t guess by watching the news. And if what we read is correct, Mr. Trump just has to be ‘hated less’ than Hillary, as both candidates have high unfavorables, and the election may come down to who the voter dislikes less.
What do you think? Leave a comment with your thoughts below.